We have been targeting a public release of our dynamic soybean grower decision support tool which would allow producers to identify their location within the state and the tool would make predictions on the best planting date, maturity group, and seeding rate combinations to use across our diverse soybean production scenarios. These predictions would be made using field-based data collected from 2019-2023 and AI-based modeling.
Originally, we had targeted a release date of early April so NC soybean growers could use the tool to make planting decisions for the 2024 season. We have had a dedicated team of computer scientists, IT experts, and agronomists working alongside growers and Extension Agents to meet this target, however we feel the tool needs more work before public release. NC State Extension takes the responsibility of providing NC growers with information very seriously and we don’t want to provide access to the tool until we have unwavering confidence in the production predictions made across the state.
We will be working over the next few months to improve the modeling that is running the tool, including a plan to ground-truth the model with producer-data, so that the tool can be released in the fall and fully operational to help make maturity group selection, planting date, and seeding rate decisions for planting in 2025.
We appreciate your patience as we strive to use new tools and innovative strategies to provide NC growers with the most robust, accurate, and user-friendly access to information.
In the meantime, we want to reiterate that the research-based information derived from the field trials conducted across the state at 20 sites from 2019-2023 that drive the tool are available in a variety of formats. Highlights of that data as well as links to deeper dives are provided below.
Planting Date:- In general across the state, the optimal planting range for soybean lies somewhere between mid-April and mid-May, with Tidewater region producers having more flexibility to begin planting in early April and who also begin to lose yield when planting dates are delayed past the first week of May while producers in other areas of the state can generally plant into later May without yield implications
- In all regions of the state, we have seen yield loss from soybean planting dates prior to early April regardless of maturity group. This occurs for a variety of reasons including limited height before moving into reproductive development, pest pressure differences early in the season, and seed quality issues on the backend of the season for <MG6 varieties.
- In these studies, we have consistently seen that delaying planting past mid-May has negative yield implications, with yield loss from 0.45-0.87 bu/A/d depending on region and maturity group. Read more in this Extension Portal Post. Note that all these trials were planted fallow and we will be doing subsequent work to investigate how wheat residue influences yield loss from delayed planting in soybeans.
- Figure 1 highlights an example from the tool showing the relationship between planting date and maximum yield potential for Edgecombe County for selected relative maturities 4.5-6.0.
- Read more about the relationship between planting date and soybean yield in this Extension Portal Post.